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Depression over Eastcentral and adjoining Southeast Arabian Sea: Pre-Cyclone Watch for north Maharashtra - south Gujarat coasts

The well marked low pressure area over Southeast and adjoining Eastcentral Arabian Sea & Lakshadweep area concentrated into a Depression over Eastcentral and adjoining Southeast Arabian Sea and lay centred at 0530 hours IST of today the 1st June, 2020 near latitude 13.0°N and longitude 71.4°E about 370 km southwest of Panjim (Goa), 690km south-southwest of Mumbai (Maharashtra) and 920 km south-southwest of Surat (Gujarat). It is very likely to intensify into a Deep Depression over Eastcentral and adjoining Southeast Arabian Sea during next 12 hours and intensify further into a Cyclonic Storm over Eastcentral Arabian Sea during the subsequent 24 hours. It is very likely to move nearly northwards initially till 02nd June Morning and then recurve north-northeastwards and cross north Maharashtra and south Gujarat coasts between Harihareshwar (Raigad,  Maharashtra) and Daman during evening/ night of 3rd June .

 

Forecast track and intensity are given in the following table:

Date/Time(IST)

Position

(Lat. 0N/ long. 0E)

Maximum sustained surface wind speed (Kmph)

Category of cyclonic disturbance

01.06.20/0530

13.0/71.4

40-50 gusting to 60

Depression

01.06.20/1130

13.3/71.2

45-55 gusting to 65

Depression

01.06.20/1730

13.7/71.0

50-60 gusting to 70

Deep Depression

01.06.20/2330

14.2/70.9

55-65 gusting to 75

Deep Depression

02.06.20/0530

14.9/70.8

60-70 gusting to 80

Cyclonic Storm

02.06.20/1730

15.7/70.9

80-90 gusting to 100

Cyclonic Storm

03.06.20/0530

17.0/71.4

90-100 gusting to 110

Severe Cyclonic Storm

03.06.20/1730

18.4/72.2

105-115 gusting to 125

Severe Cyclonic Storm

04.06.20/0530

19.6/72.9

95-105 gusting to 115

Severe Cyclonic Storm

04.06.20/1730

20.8/73.5

60-70 gusting to 80

Cyclonic Storm

 

The Depression over south coastal Oman and adjoining Yemen remained practically stationary weakened into a well marked low pressure area and lay centred at 0530 hrs IST of today, the 1st June, 2020 over the same region. It is very likely to weaken further gradually into a low pressure area during next 24 hours.

 

Warnings:

  1. Rainfall: 
  • Under the influence of the Depression, light to moderate rainfall at most places with isolated heavy falls very likely over Lakshadweep area, north Kerala and coastal Karnataka, today the 1st June. Light to moderate rainfall at most places with isolated heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places very likely over south Konkan & Goa on 01st June. Light to moderate rainfall at most places with isolated heavy to very heavy falls very likely over Konkan & Goa on 02nd June and over south Konkan & Goa on 03rd June.
  • Light to moderate rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at a few places and extremely heavy falls at isolated places over north Konkan and north Madhya Maharashtra on 03rd & 04th June.
  • Light to moderate rainfall at most places with isolated heavy to very heavy falls very likely over south Gujarat state, Daman, Diu, Dadra & Nagar Haveli on 03rd June and with heavy to very heavy falls at a few places and extremely heavy falls at isolated places over south Gujarat state, Daman, Diu, Dadra & Nagar Haveli and on 04th June.

 

 (ii)        Wind warning

  • Squally wind, speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph, is prevailing over Eastcentral and adjoining southeast Arabian Sea. It is very likely to become 50-60 kmph gusting to 70kmph over Eastcentral and adjoining southeast Arabian Sea during next 48 hours.  It will gradually increase becoming Gale wind speed reaching 60-70 kmph gusting to 80 kmph over eastcentral Arabian Sea  and along and off south Maharashtra coast from 2nd June morning and further becoming 105-115 kmph gusting to 125 kmph over eastcentral and northeast Arabian Sea along & off Maharashtra coast and 80-90 kmph gusting to 100 kmph along & off south Gujarat coast from 3rd June evening.
  • Squally wind, speed reaching 50-60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph is likely prevail over eastcentral Arabian Sea along and off Karnataka-Goa coasts during next 48 hours.
  • Squally wind, speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph is likely to prevail over Lakshadweep area and along & off Kerala coast during next 48 hours.

 

(iii)       Sea condition

  • The Sea condition is very likely to be rough to very rough over Eastcentral & adjoining Southeast  Arabian Sea during next 48 hours. It would become very rough to High over eastcentral & southeast Arabian Sea and along & off Karnataka-Goa coasts during next 48 hours. It will be High to very High over Eastcentral Arabian Sea along and off Maharashtra coast from 2nd June. 
  • The Sea condition is very likely to be very rough to High over northeast Arabian Sea along & off Gujarat coast from 3rd June.

 

(iv)       Fishermen Warning

  • Fishermen are advised not to venture into southeast Arabian Sea, Lakshadweep area and along & off Kerala coast during next 48 hours; eastcentral Arabian Sea and along & off  Karnataka-Goa coasts till 3rd June; eastcentral Arabian Sea along & off Maharashtra coast and northeast Arabian Sea along & off Gujarat coast during 3rd – 4th June.

Kindly visit www.rsmcnewdelhi.imd.gov.in  and www.mausam.imd.gov.in  for updates on the system.

 

 


 

 

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